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Morning Report - 11 July 2014

UK 100 Leaders Close (p) Chg (p) % Chg % YTD
Burberry Group PLC 1464 45.0 3.2 9.7
Randgold Resources Ltd 5235 140.0 2.8 29.7
Sainsbury (J) PLC 314.9 5.7 1.8 -12.1
Shire PLC 4600 81.0 1.8 120.0
Fresnillo PLC 945 16.0 1.7 7.1
Land Securities Group PLC 1025 16.0 1.6 16.4
Next PLC 6455 90.0 1.4 40.7
Marks & Spencer Group PLC 423 5.0 1.2 -2.2
UK 100 Laggards Close (p) Chg (p) % Chg % YTD
Hargreaves Lansdown PLC 1128 -52.0 -4.4 25.2
Ashtead Group PLC 878.5 -35.5 -3.9 36.3
London Stock Exchange Group PLC 1896 -60.0 -3.1 43.1
Travis Perkins PLC 1574 -42.0 -2.6 7.4
International Consolidated Airlines Group SA 331.7 -8.3 -2.4 25.8
ITV PLC 173.7 -4.0 -2.3 21.6
IMI PLC 1426 -32.0 -2.2 -1.1
Aviva PLC 483.2 -10.7 -2.2 43.2
Major World Indices Mid/Close Chg % Chg % YTD
UK UK 100 6,672.37 -45.67 -0.68 -1.14
UK 15,439.90 -109.73 -0.71 -3.11
FR CAC 40 4,301.26 -58.58 -1.34 0.12
DE DAX 30 9,659.13 -149.07 -1.52 1.12
US DJ Industrial Average 30 16,915.00 -70.51 -0.42 2.04
US Nasdaq Composite 100 4,396.20 -22.83 -0.52 5.26
US S&P 500 1,964.68 -8.15 -0.41 6.29
JP Nikkei 225 15,168.58 -47.89 -0.31 -6.89
HK Hang Seng Index 48 23,181.40 -57.59 -0.25 -0.54
AU S&P/ASX 200 5,491.30 26.85 0.49 2.60
Commodities & FX Mid/Close Chg % Chg % YTD
Crude Oil, US Light Sweet ($/barrel) 102.725 -0.005 0 4.0831
Crude Oil, Brent ($/barrel) 108.585 0.685 0.63 -2.591
Gold ($/oz) 1338.05 0.85 0.06 10.9894
Silver ($/oz) 21.5025 0.0125 0.06 10.6306
Platinum ($/oz) 1516.1 5.8 0.38 10.334
GBP/USD – US$ per £ 1.7127 -0.02 3.5045
EUR/USD – US$ per € 1.3597 -0.05 -1.033
GBP/EUR – € per £ 1.2596 0.04 4.4376
UK Index called to open +12pts at 6685

1 Week, 5 Min

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Today's Main Events

  • 07:00     DE           CPI

See Live Macro Calendar for full data line-up, incl. consensus expectations

 

Markets Overview: (Source: Bloomberg, FT, Reuters, DJ Newswires)

UK 100 called to open up 10pts at 6683, after the yet another day of losses in London.

78 of UK 100 companies fell as the index registered its fourth consecutive day of losses - will today be any different?

Yesterday's session got off to a stuttering start as minutes from the latest U.S. Federal Reserve meeting detailed the intention to withdraw quantitative easing in October. How will the world's largest economy fare once off of life support traders asked?

Portugal's second-largest lender, Banco Espirito Santo, then rocked European markets. Its stock value fell 17% before the bank suspended trading in its own shares. The parent company of the bank reportedly unable to make some short-term debt payments, reminded traders of dark banking crisis days gone by.

Inevitably the UK listed banks took a bath. Barclays (BARC.L) briefly traded at 201p before closing down 1.65% at 208p. Royal Bank of Scotland (RBS.L) down 0.41%. Lloyds Banking Group (LLOY.L) fell to a low of 71.72p before surging to close at 73.11p, up on the day by 0.29% - a doff of the cap to the Accendo Markets Research Team for issuing a short sell note on LLOY at 80p a couple of weeks back - 10% return for the brave!

EARNINGS WATCH - Keep your eyes peeled for the Wells Fargo trading update, due to be delivered at 1pm GMT. The first U.S. bank to report, traders of bank shares will scrutinise the numbers.

Shares in the London Stock Exchange (LSE.L) fell 3% as Qatar Holding instructed the sale of 4.83% of its 15% stake.

Among the better performers was Burberry (BRBY.L) up 3.17% after issuing a trading statement that impressed the City.

Randgold Resources (RRS.L) and Fresnillo (FRES.L) jumped as much as 2.75% on the back of gold hitting a high $1349.

J Sainsbury (SBRY.L) added 1.84% as traders speculated the Qatar Holding cash raised from the LSE stake sale could find its way into SBRY - the sovereign wealth fund already holds 25.99% of shares.

Traders in the U.S. exercised a 'risk-off' approach faced with the prospect of an economy without stimulus and the potential of a European banking crisis.

The Dow Jones fell 70pts to 16,915. The S&P 500 and NASDAQ also declined by 0.5%.

 Asian stocks endured a mixed session, shallow gains or losses of less than 0.4% were recorded as traders pondered their next move.

In commodities, as the equity rout continued gold rallied to $1345, highest levels since March 19th and on course for a sixth weekly gain. Trading at four-month as concerns emerge on the European economy and rising tensions in the Middle East, will this help push the safe haven back to highs of $1390? Silver followed suit climbing as high as $21.52, highest levels in March and also on its longest run since April 2011. WTI remained out of favour trading at $102.80 a barrel, heading for a third weekly drop as Libyan output resumed and stockpiles increased in the US.

In FX the dollar headed for its biggest weekly decline versus the yen since April before Fed’s Yellen testifies to lawmakers next week and as traders trimmed bets the central bank will raise interest rates.

For any help you may require placing trades or in terms of market information, put a call in to our trading floor – all part of the service.

Key Overnight Macro Data: (Source: Reuters/DJ Newswires)

  • AU          Home Loans       BETTER

 

See Live Macro calendar for full details

 

UK Company Headlines: (Source: Reuters/DJ Newswires)

  • Moneysupermarket.com sees H1 revenues of 122 mln stg
  • Dragon Oil says on track for 2015 milestone target
  • Faroe Petroleum says operator made oil discovery on Bue prospect
  • Imperial in talks to buy assets from Reynolds and Lorillard
  • SSE receives approval for Scottish subsea link

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This research is produced by Accendo Markets Limited. Research produced and disseminated by Accendo Markets is classified as non-independent research, and is therefore a marketing communication. This investment research has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote its independence and it is not subject to the prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. This research does not constitute a personal recommendation or offer to enter into a transaction or an investment, and is produced and distributed for information purposes only.

Accendo Markets considers opinions and information contained within the research to be valid when published, and gives no warranty as to the investments referred to in this material. The income from the investments referred to may go down as well as up, and investors may realise losses on investments. The past performance of a particular investment is not necessarily a guide to its future performance. Prepared by Michael van Dulken, Head of Research

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