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Morning Report - 8 July 2014

UK 100 Leaders Close (p) Chg (p) % Chg % YTD
AstraZeneca PLC 4451 33.5 0.8 41.2
Friends Life Group Ltd 319.8 2.4 0.8 14.1
Weir Group PLC 2735 20.0 0.7 24.2
G4S PLC 263.9 1.8 0.7 12.4
Petrofac Ltd 1231 6.0 0.5 2.7
Shire PLC 4651 16.0 0.4 122.4
Pearson PLC 1149 2.0 0.2 -0.4
SSE PLC 1591 2.0 0.1 4.7
UK 100 Laggards Close (p) Chg (p) % Chg % YTD
Tullow Oil PLC 817.5 -26.5 -3.1 -19.6
Kingfisher PLC 351 -10.7 -3.0 2.0
easyJet PLC 1325 -36.0 -2.7 2.3
Barratt Developments PLC 372 -9.7 -2.5 21.5
Morrison (Wm) Supermarkets PLC 179.3 -4.6 -2.5 -31.5
Land Securities Group PLC 1019 -21.0 -2.0 15.7
TUI Travel PLC 389.3 -8.0 -2.0 7.8
Burberry Group PLC 1429 -29.0 -2.0 7.0
Major World Indices Mid/Close Chg % Chg % YTD
UK UK 100 6,823.50 -42.54 -0.62 1.10
UK 15,892.30 -157.86 -0.98 -0.27
FR CAC 40 4,405.76 -63.22 -1.41 2.56
DE DAX 30 9,906.07 -103.01 -1.03 3.71
US DJ Industrial Average 30 17,024.20 -44.06 -0.26 2.70
US Nasdaq Composite 100 4,451.53 -34.39 -0.77 6.58
US S&P 500 1,977.65 -7.79 -0.39 6.99
JP Nikkei 225 15,321.97 -57.47 -0.37 -5.95
HK Hang Seng Index 48 23,518.37 -22.55 -0.10 0.91
AU S&P/ASX 200 5,511.20 -7.71 -0.14 2.97
Commodities & FX Mid/Close Chg % Chg % YTD
Crude Oil, US Light Sweet ($/barrel) 103.455 0.045 0.04 4.772
Crude Oil, Brent ($/barrel) 109.97 -0.295 -0.27 -0.4559
Gold ($/oz) 1318.35 -0.65 -0.05 9.4788
Silver ($/oz) 21.035 -0.025 -0.12 8.417
Platinum ($/oz) 1498.4 -4.1 -0.27 9.0459
GBP/USD – US$ per £ 1.7129 -0.02 3.5227
EUR/USD – US$ per € 1.3605 -0.01 -1.0185
GBP/EUR – € per £ 1.2591 -0.02 4.4542
UK Index called to open +4pts at 6830

1 Week, 5 Min

Click graph to enlarge

Today's Main Events

  • 09:30     UK          Industrial Production
  • 09:30     UK          Manufacturing Production
  • 12:30     US          NFIB Small business Optimism
  • 15:00     UK          NIESR GDP Estimate

See Live Macro Calendar for full data line-up, incl. consensus expectations

Markets Overview: (Source: Bloomberg, FT, Reuters, DJ Newswires)

  UK 100 called to open up 4pts at 6832, after a bout of profit taking yesterday.

Traders cashed out of equities after last week's rally, making the most of record levels registered in the U.S. as our American counterparts returned to the market after Friday's holiday.

88 of UK 100 companies fell yesterday. The hardest hit was Tullow Oil (TLW.L) falling 3.14% on reports of violence between local militia and the Ugandan army near its operations in Uganda.

Barratt Developments (BDEV.L) and Persimmon (PSN.L) fell 2.54% and 1.84% as traders booked profits looking for lower entry levels after a good week for house builder share prices.

EARNINGS NEWS - counterpart Bovis Homes (BVS.L) says completions rise in the first half 2014 by 54%, margin increased by 15%.

Marks & Spencer (MKS.L) fell 0.71% yesterday ahead of today's trading update - Underlying non-food sales fell for a 12th straight quarter, blames new web platform. Sales fell 1.5% in the last quarter, in-line with analysts' forecasts of a 1-2% fall.

Keep an eye on easyJet (EZJ.L) and International Consolidated Air (IAG.L) this morning as Air France KLM issues a profit warning. German peer Lufthansa also issued a profit warning two weeks ago.

Barclays (BARC.L) shed another 1.14% yesterday taking the price to 216p. The stock is now just 3% above its 2014 low and 38% away from its 2014 high following the recent lawsuit filed by the U.S Attorney General.

In U.S. markets profit taking was also the theme of the day. The Dow Jones fell 44pts but kept its head above 17,000 to close at 17,024pts just 50pts from its highest ever level.

Alcoa unofficially kicks off earnings season in the States today. The world's largest aluminium company will deliver a trading statement after the bell this evening - watch for movements in commodity related stocks.

Asian stocks followed suit, the MSCI Asia Pacific Index fell from a six-year high led by profit taking and declining Japanese exporters on a stronger Yen.

In focus today we have UK Industrial and Manufacturing Production figures released at 9:30am followed by GDP estimates at 15:00pm.

Despite the equity market sell-off, commodities remained out of favour and gold remained in a holding pattern trading at $1315 as investors assessed the timing of US interest rate increases. However money managers increased net-long positions for a fourth straight week, and holdings in exchange-traded products are climbing at the fastest pace since 2012. WTI fell to $103.4 a barrel, heading towards one-month lows, capping its longest losing streak since 2009 ahead of oil data being released. Brent fell below $110 as Libya continues to resume production.

In FX the yen had its biggest gain in a week on its appeal as a safe haven currency, as Japan reported a bigger-than-expected current-account surplus and markets extended declines from record highs.

 

Key Overnight Macro Data: (Source: Reuters/DJ Newswires)

  • JP            Current Account                               BETTER
  • JP            Trade Balance                                    BETTER
  • AU          NAB Business Confidence            BETTER

See Live Macro calendar for full details

 

UK Company Headlines: (Source: Reuters/DJ Newswires)

  • Petroceltic completes farm-out deal for Algerian field
  • Homeware retailer Dunelm full-year profit seen rising 7 pct
  • Dunelm anticipates pretax profit for year about 116 mln stg
  • M&S blames new website for quarterly sales fall
  • XP Power's first-half revenue grows 2 pct
  • SIG says outlook for UK remains positive
  • Dechra Pharmaceuticals says FY revenue up about 1.6 pct

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This research is produced by Accendo Markets Limited. Research produced and disseminated by Accendo Markets is classified as non-independent research, and is therefore a marketing communication. This investment research has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote its independence and it is not subject to the prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. This research does not constitute a personal recommendation or offer to enter into a transaction or an investment, and is produced and distributed for information purposes only.

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