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Morning Report - 4 July 2014

UK 100 Leaders Close (p) Chg (p) % Chg % YTD
Standard Chartered PLC 1222 29.0 2.4 -13.3
Ashtead Group PLC 914.5 20.0 2.2 38.9
Associated British Foods PLC 3097 65.0 2.1 81.6
BG Group PLC 1272.5 25.5 2.0 7.6
Antofagasta PLC 781.5 12.0 1.6 -5.2
Marks & Spencer Group PLC 432 5.0 1.2 0.5
Rio Tinto PLC 3239.5 37.0 1.2 21.1
AstraZeneca PLC 4418.5 49.0 1.1 42.1
UK 100 Laggards Close (p) Chg (p) % Chg % YTD
Royal Mail Group PLC 479.1 -12.1 -2.5 0.0
International Consolidated Airlines Group SA 364.4 -8.6 -2.3 37.9
Pearson PLC 1134 -26.0 -2.2 -2.4
Rolls-Royce Group PLC 1048 -22.0 -2.1 -9.2
BAE Systems PLC 424.7 -7.8 -1.8 8.5
easyJet PLC 1325 -24.0 -1.8 6.6
British Sky Broadcasting Group PLC 896 -13.0 -1.4 15.6
Smiths Group PLC 1282 -17.0 -1.3 0.6
Major World Indices Mid/Close Chg % Chg % YTD
UK UK 100 6,816.37 13.45 0.2 1.00
UK 15,897.00 56.23 0.35 -0.24
FR CAC 40 4,444.72 -16.40 -0.37 3.46
DE DAX 30 9,911.27 8.86 0.09 3.76
US DJ Industrial Average 30 16,976.20 20.13 0.12 2.41
US Nasdaq Composite 100 4,457.73 -0.92 -0.02 6.73
US S&P 500 1,974.62 1.30 0.07 6.83
JP Nikkei 225 15,429.60 81.31 0.53 -5.29
HK Hang Seng Index 48 23,570.95 39.51 0.17 1.13
AU S&P/ASX 200 5,530.60 39.36 0.72 3.33
Commodities & FX Mid/Close Chg % Chg % YTD
Crude Oil, US Light Sweet ($/barrel) 104.115 0.045 0.04 5.4407
Crude Oil, Brent ($/barrel) 111.04 -0.59 -0.53 0.7764
Gold ($/oz) 1325.2 -1.3 -0.1 10.1013
Silver ($/oz) 21.1475 -0.0375 -0.18 9.0605
Platinum ($/oz) 1507.8 2.5 0.17 9.73
GBP/USD – US$ per £ 1.7156 -0.03 3.6918
EUR/USD – US$ per € 1.365 -0.03 -0.6693
GBP/EUR – € per £ 1.2569 0 4.2551
UK Index called to open -3pts at 6863

1 Week, 5 Min

Click graph to enlarge

Today's Main Events

  • 07:00     DE           Factory Orders
  • 08:30     DE           Construction PMI
  • 09:10     EU          Retail PMI
  • 11:00     DE           Manufacturing Orders

See Live Macro Calendar for full data line-up, incl. consensus expectations

 

Markets Overview: (Source: Bloomberg, FT, Reuters, DJ Newswires)

UK 100 called to open flat at 6863, after another strong session yesterday, amassing 49pts as U.S. markets hit record highs again.

European trading was boosted by U.S. Non-Farm Payroll data coming in well ahead of expectations. The German DAX bagged 118pts to close at 10,029 - just 20pts away from another record high. The UK 100 , now less than 100pts away from a record high, closed at its highest level in three weeks.

The U.S. added 288,000 jobs in June blowing away expectations for an addition of 215,000, posting a fifth straight month of job growth. The number of Americans without work dropped from 9.8 million (6.3% of the population) in May to 9.5 million (6.1%) in June.

CUE THE GLOBAL EQUITY MARKET RALLY!

85 of the UK 100 constituents advanced. Sports Direct (SPD.L) took top spot, shares rose 5.63% after shareholders agreed Mike Ashley's bonus scheme.

Antofagasta (ANTO.L) up 5%, Anglo American (AAL.L) up 2.69% and BHP Billiton (BLT.L) up 2.09% ensured the commodity rally continued, bringing gains for the week to near 10%.

Persimmon (PSN.L) and Barratt Developments (BDEV.L) notched another day of gains, shares up 2% and 1.34% respectively, 'building' on Persimmon's upbeat trading statement at the beginning of the week. Forward looking, peer Taylor Wimpey (TW..L) is set to deliver its latest trading statement on Monday - can it too boast decent numbers? Also reporting next week, Bellway (BWY.L), Bovis (BVS.L) and Barratt Developments (BDEV.L).

The UK Index laggards included BP (BP..L) and Royal Dutch Shell (RDSA/B.L) down 1% as the price of oil declined. Defensive stocks such as National Grid (NG..L) and Smith & Nephew (SN..L) shed up to 0.5% as traders moved cash from steady to more volatile sectors.

The Dow Jones broke through the 17,000 mark for the first time ever, 17,077pts the recorded peak. The S&P 500 closed at a new record level of 1,985pts as the world's largest economy convinced traders of its health, publishing strong employment data.

U.S. markets are closed today  - Happy 4th July to our American friends!

There was only one way Asian equities could head with gains marked in Hong Kong, Japan and Australia. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index posted its longest run of weekly gains since 2012.

In focus today following weaker than expected German Factory Orders already we have German Construction PMI released at 8:30am and German Retail figures at 9:10am. Please note US equity markets are closed today due to Independence Day.

In commodities, gold fell as low as $1309, the most in five weeks following better than expected non-farms, before recovering back to $1319 as it remained within its tight range. Silver was unchanged at $21.15 heading for a fifth weekly advance, it’s longest run since April 2011. Both WTI trading at $103.9 and Brent trading at $111 were on course for a second weekly drop as exports resumed in Libya and continued speculation that supplies would not be disrupted by violence in Iraq.

In FX the dollar strengthened the most in a month as speculation mounted after the jobs data that the Fed may bring forward the timing of interest rate increases. USD/Yen hit 102.2, highest levels since June 18th. Meanwhile the Aussie dollar continued to head south and was down by 1% at 93.47 US cents.

For any help you may require placing trades or in terms of market information, put a call in to our trading floor – all part of the service.

Key Overnight Macro Data: (Source: Reuters/DJ Newswires)

  • Nothing overnight

See Live Macro calendar for full details

 

UK Company Headlines: (Source: Reuters/DJ Newswires)

  • Ithaca Energy completes offering of $300 mln of unsecured notes
  • Aer Lingus passenger load factor falls 0.7 pct in June
  • Xchanging buys Agencyport Europe for 64.1 mln stg
  • Serco loses out on London's DLR contract
  • BT agrees insurance deal against pension longevity costs
  • Chariot oil and Gas in farm-out agreement with Woodside

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This research is produced by Accendo Markets Limited. Research produced and disseminated by Accendo Markets is classified as non-independent research, and is therefore a marketing communication. This investment research has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote its independence and it is not subject to the prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. This research does not constitute a personal recommendation or offer to enter into a transaction or an investment, and is produced and distributed for information purposes only.

Accendo Markets considers opinions and information contained within the research to be valid when published, and gives no warranty as to the investments referred to in this material. The income from the investments referred to may go down as well as up, and investors may realise losses on investments. The past performance of a particular investment is not necessarily a guide to its future performance. Prepared by Michael van Dulken, Head of Research

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