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Morning Report - 2 July 2014

UK 100 Leaders Close (p) Chg (p) % Chg % YTD
Anglo American PLC 1487 57.0 4.0 9.4
Fresnillo PLC 898.5 26.5 3.0 -6.5
Rio Tinto PLC 3202.5 94.0 3.0 19.7
Sports Direct International PLC 727.5 21.0 3.0 38.2
BHP Billiton PLC 1944.5 55.0 2.9 12.5
Travis Perkins PLC 1680 42.0 2.6 15.1
CRH PLC 1537 36.0 2.4 20.1
Glencore Xstrata PLC 333.2 7.7 2.4 13.8
UK 100 Laggards Close (p) Chg (p) % Chg % YTD
Morrison (Wm) Supermarkets PLC 180.2 -3.2 -1.7 -30.7
Royal Mail Group PLC 491.2 -7.8 -1.6 0.0
TUI Travel PLC 392 -6.0 -1.5 15.2
Shire PLC 4510 -60.0 -1.3 122.5
easyJet PLC 1349 -16.0 -1.2 8.5
Imperial Tobacco Group PLC 2609 -21.0 -0.8 12.9
Associated British Foods PLC 3032 -17.0 -0.6 77.8
WPP Group PLC 1267 -7.0 -0.6 14.6
Major World Indices Mid/Close Chg % Chg % YTD
UK UK 100 6,802.92 58.98 0.87 0.80
UK 15,840.90 117.34 0.75 -0.59
FR CAC 40 4,461.12 38.28 0.87 3.84
DE DAX 30 9,902.41 69.34 0.71 3.67
US DJ Industrial Average 30 16,956.00 129.50 0.77 2.29
US Nasdaq Composite 100 4,458.65 50.47 1.14 6.75
US S&P 500 1,973.32 13.09 0.67 6.76
JP Nikkei 225 15,380.45 54.25 0.35 -5.59
HK Hang Seng Index 48 23,425.50 234.78 1.01 0.51
AU S&P/ASX 200 5,447.60 71.70 1.33 1.78
Commodities & FX Mid/Close Chg % Chg % YTD
Crude Oil, US Light Sweet ($/barrel) 105.415 0.055 0.05 6.7477
Crude Oil, Brent ($/barrel) 112.385 0.135 0.12 1.3361
Gold ($/oz) 1326.25 -0.25 -0.02 10.1013
Silver ($/oz) 21.06 -0.02 -0.09 8.5199
Platinum ($/oz) 1505.3 18.5 1.24 9.5481
GBP/USD – US$ per £ 1.7146 0 3.6073
EUR/USD – US$ per € 1.3671 -0.07 -0.4801
GBP/EUR – € per £ 1.2543 0.06 3.9731
UK Index called to open +1pts at 6800

1 Week, 5 Min

Click graph to enlarge

Today's Main Events

  • 09:30     UK          Construction PMI
  • 10:00     EU          PPI
  • 12:00     US          MBA Mortgage Applications
  • 13:15     US          ADP Employment Change
  • 15:00     US          Factory Orders

See Live Macro Calendar for full data line-up, incl. consensus expectations

 

Markets Overview: (Source: Bloomberg, FT, Reuters, DJ Newswires)

  UK 100 called to open flat at 6800, after a solid session yesterday which saw the UK 100 put on 58pts and test the 6800 level again for the first time in a week.

Commodity stocks led the UK Index higher as strong Chinese PMI data reassured traders the world's second largest economy is in good shape, and a cheaper US dollar made purchasing commodities more attractive.

Anglo American (AAL.L) topped the UK Index with a 4% advance, closely followed by Rio Tinto (RIO.L) up 3%, and BHP Billiton (BLT.L) up 2.9%.

The price of gold firmed to almost $1330 on reports of escalating violence in Iraq, this ensured Fresnillo (FRES.L) up 3%, and Randgold Resources (RRS.L) up 2.2% made the top 10 performing stocks of session.

House builder stocks finished the day in positive territory as traders gambled on a positive trading update from Persimmon (PSN.L) this morning. Hopefully they'll be rewarded - as I type Persimmon's first half numbers have come in. Headlines read well - CEO cites a "strong six months" with revenues up 33% and completions up 28% year on year.

NEWS JUST IN from Nationwide Building Society - Its latest survey found that the annual rise in house prices jumped from 11.1% to 11.8% in June, with all regions across the UK seeing an increase.

The foot of the table was littered with supermarket stocks as market research company Kantar said the discount retailers where continuing to pinch market share and suggested the 'big four' need to invest in expanding and perfecting their online shopping processes.

Morrisons (MRW.L), Sainsburys (SBRY.L) and Tesco (TSCO.L) were among the 22 stocks to decline on the day.

US stocks enjoyed a memorable session. The Dow Jones recorded a level of 16,999pts, a record high. The S&P 500 also registered a record closing level of 1,973. The strong Chinese PMI data combined with better than expected manufacturing data from the US propelled US indices to new heights.

Asian equity markets followed suit to register gains across the board. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index rose to a six year high - the Australians witnessed the biggest move, the ASX200 adding 1.48%.

In focus today we have UK Construction PMI released at 9:30am, however the focal point will be US ADP data released at 13:15pm, expected to come in at 205k, a pre-cursor to Non-Farm Payrolls released tomorrow. We also have Yellen’s delivering a speech in Washington at 16:00pm. Looking at UK equities, Mothercare has rejected a takeover from Destination Maternity, Tullow Oil has written of $415M after poor drills and Blinkx has issued a profits warning.

In commodities, Gold steadied from a three-month high at $1325, as assets in the SPDR Gold Trust posted it largest two-day gain since 2011. Traders were also hesitant as Fed Chair Yellen is due to give a speech at the IMF. In industrial metals copper continued to rise to a 16-week high as manufacturing expanded at the fastest pace this year in China. WTI fell to a three-week low of $105.3 ahead of stockpile data while Brent steadied at $112.3.

In FX, the dollar traded at a six-week low versus the euro as US manufacturing data rose less than expected.

For any help you may require placing trades or in terms of market information, put a call in to our trading floor – all part of the service.

 

Key Overnight Macro Data: (Source: Reuters/DJ Newswires)

  • AU          Trade Balance                    WORSE

 

See Live Macro calendar for full details

 

UK Company Headlines: (Source: Reuters/DJ Newswires)

  • Petards wins 4.5 mln stg contract with UK defence ministry
  • Topps Tiles Q3 like-for-like sales up 6.3 pct, remains optimistic
  • Carillion says on track to meet FY expectations
  • Kier Group sees good earnings visibility in 2015
  • Blinkx warns on first-half earnings, effects of disparaging blog linger
  • Shelf drilling cancels London listing in challenging market
  • Sirius minerals signs MoU with Tanzanian ministry of agriculture
  • Purecircle expects H2 FY14 sales at $66 mln
  • Salamander Energy announces spud of North Kendang-2 exploration well
  • Persimmon Group's strong first half lifts revenue 33 pct
  • Spirent Communications to buy Radvision's technology business unit for $25 mln
  • Anite FY pretax profit falls to 15 mln stg
  • Tullow Oil books $415 mln exploration write-off after poor drilling
  • UK's Mothercare rejects Destination Maternity bid proposals
  • Anite profit halves on weak handset-testing demand
  • Premier Oil starts gas deliveries to Indonesia, Singapore

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This research is produced by Accendo Markets Limited. Research produced and disseminated by Accendo Markets is classified as non-independent research, and is therefore a marketing communication. This investment research has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote its independence and it is not subject to the prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. This research does not constitute a personal recommendation or offer to enter into a transaction or an investment, and is produced and distributed for information purposes only.

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