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Morning Report - 1 July 2014

UK 100 Leaders Close (p) Chg (p) % Chg % YTD
Fresnillo PLC 872 17.0 2.0 -9.2
Pearson PLC 1154 19.0 1.7 -0.7
Aberdeen Asset Management PLC 453.9 6.5 1.5 23.2
Rexam PLC 535 7.5 1.4 -1.2
Johnson Matthey PLC 3100 38.0 1.2 21.2
British Sky Broadcasting Group PLC 904 11.0 1.2 16.7
ITV PLC 178.2 2.1 1.2 30.8
Diageo PLC 1866 18.5 1.0 1.5
UK 100 Laggards Close (p) Chg (p) % Chg % YTD
easyJet PLC 1365 -94.0 -6.4 9.8
International Consolidated Airlines Group SA 370.5 -13.3 -3.5 40.2
Sports Direct International PLC 706.5 -17.0 -2.4 34.2
Hargreaves Lansdown PLC 1238 -24.0 -1.9 40.1
Marks & Spencer Group PLC 425.2 -6.7 -1.6 -1.1
Barclays PLC 212.8 -3.3 -1.5 -20.0
Lloyds Banking Group PLC 74.25 -1.1 -1.5 21.3
TUI Travel PLC 398 -5.5 -1.4 16.9
Major World Indices Mid/Close Chg % Chg % YTD
UK UK 100 6,743.94 -13.83 -0.2 -0.08
UK 15,723.60 42.14 0.27 -1.33
FR CAC 40 4,422.84 -14.14 -0.32 2.95
DE DAX 30 9,833.07 17.90 0.18 2.94
US DJ Industrial Average 30 16,826.60 -25.24 -0.15 1.51
US Nasdaq Composite 100 4,408.18 10.25 0.23 5.55
US S&P 500 1,960.23 -0.73 -0.04 6.05
JP Nikkei 225 15,320.63 158.53 1.05 -5.96
HK Hang Seng Index 48 23,190.72 -30.80 -0.13 -0.50
AU S&P/ASX 200 5,374.60 -21.15 -0.39 0.42
Commodities & FX Mid/Close Chg % Chg % YTD
Crude Oil, US Light Sweet ($/barrel) 105.725 0.265 0.25 6.849
Crude Oil, Brent ($/barrel) 112.595 0.055 0.05 1.5979
Gold ($/oz) 1328.6 1.4 0.11 10.1594
Silver ($/oz) 21.1375 0.0575 0.27 8.5199
Platinum ($/oz) 1486.8 7 0.47 8.2017
GBP/USD – US$ per £ 1.7105 -0.02 3.3716
EUR/USD – US$ per € 1.3684 -0.05 -0.4001
GBP/EUR – € per £ 1.2499 0.03 3.6413
UK Index called to open +3pts at 6760

1 Week, 5 Min

Click graph to enlarge

Today's Main Events

  • 08:55     DE           Manufacturing PMI
  • 08:55     DE           Unemployment Rate
  • 09:00     EU          Manufacturing PMI
  • 09:30     UK          Manufacturing PMI
  • 10:00     EU          Unemployment Rate
  • 15:00     US          ISM Manufacturing

See Live Macro Calendar for full data line-up, incl. consensus expectations

 

Markets Overview: (Source: Bloomberg, FT, Reuters, DJ Newswires)

  UK 100 called to open up 3pts at 6760, having fallen just 14pts yesterday in a lacklustre session.

Yesterday equity price fluctuations were mostly modest bar the airline sector which saw shares in easyJet (EZJ.L) descend 6.4% after Bank of America Merrill Lynch published a damning 'Underperform' rating on the stock, accompanied by a lowly price target of 1150p - 20% lower than the price at the time.

International Consolidated Airlines (IAG.L), the amalgamation of British Airways and Iberia, felt the turbulence as traders cashed out of the sector. Shares fell 3.5%

Banking stocks spent another session in the red. Barclays (BARC.L) and Lloyds Banking Group (LLOY.L) the notable underperformers, both down 1.5%. Traders still lacking confidence to pick the shares up, even at these deflated levels, as Barclays gears up for another US lawsuit whilst French counterpart, BNP Paribas, agrees to pay a $9bn settlement with US prosecutors.

Forward looking, shares in Tullow Oil (TLW.L) and Persimmon (PSN.L) could be subject to larger than normal price movements today and tomorrow ahead of trading updates scheduled for tomorrow morning. Traders will be moving in and out of the stock as they attempt to second guess company results. Do you have a view on either stock? Is the oil or house builder sector where your cash should be?

US stocks followed Europe's lead and recorded a forgettable session. The Dow Jones falling just 25pts or 0.15%, the S&P 500 fell less than 1pt while the NASDAQ recorded a shallow gain of 10pts.

In Asian Markets shallow losses or gains were also witnessed apart from in Japan where the Nikkei 225 appreciated by over 1% as the Yen fell to a near six-week low versus the USD. The exporter nation's companies cheering the increase in foreign buying power.

In commodities, Gold  hit its highest levels since March 24 of $1337, as China’s HSBC PMI data came in slightly lower than expected of 50.7 v  50.8. Holdings in the SPDR, the biggest gold-backed exchange-traded product, also had its one-day increase since May 27. Copper prices hit a four month high having recouped all their losses from June. WTI traded at $105.3, near the lowest price in more than two weeks amid speculation that escalating violence in Iraq won’t disrupt supply from OPEC’s second-biggest oil producer. Brent was steady in London at $112.5.

In FX the yen fell from a six-week high against the dollar as Asian stocks gained, reducing demand for it its appeal as a safe haven. The Aussie dollar rose to its highest levels since April as the RBA kept interest rates at record lows.

Key Overnight Macro Data: (Source: Reuters/DJ Newswires)

  • CH                          Manufacturing PMI                                         IN-LINE
  • JP                           Markit/JMMA Manufacturing PMI          BETTER
  • CH                          HSBC Manufacturing PMI                             WORSE

 

See Live Macro calendar for full details

 

UK Company Headlines: (Source: Reuters/DJ Newswires)

  • Fastjet names Nick Caine as CFO
  • UK's Ocado swings to first half profit
  • San Leon signs joint venture deal for Polish shale gas sites
  • St. Modwen Properties first-half profit rises 32 pct
  • Premier Oil sells Indonesian subsidiary for $40 mln
  • Ithaca Energy prices $300 mln senior notes

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This research is produced by Accendo Markets Limited. Research produced and disseminated by Accendo Markets is classified as non-independent research, and is therefore a marketing communication. This investment research has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote its independence and it is not subject to the prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. This research does not constitute a personal recommendation or offer to enter into a transaction or an investment, and is produced and distributed for information purposes only.

Accendo Markets considers opinions and information contained within the research to be valid when published, and gives no warranty as to the investments referred to in this material. The income from the investments referred to may go down as well as up, and investors may realise losses on investments. The past performance of a particular investment is not necessarily a guide to its future performance. Prepared by Michael van Dulken, Head of Research

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