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Morning Report - 13 June 2014

UK 100 Leaders Close (p) Chg (p) % Chg % YTD
BG Group PLC 1265 31.0 2.5 -2.5
Randgold Resources Ltd 4566 84.0 1.9 20.5
Admiral Group PLC 1535 25.0 1.7 17.2
ITV PLC 179.4 2.8 1.6 -7.5
London Stock Exchange Group PLC 1994 26.0 1.3 15.1
Reckitt Benckiser Group PLC 5190 65.0 1.3 8.3
Reed Elsevier PLC 959 10.5 1.1 6.7
G4S PLC 254.9 2.7 1.1 -2.9
UK 100 Laggards Close (p) Chg (p) % Chg % YTD
Anglo American PLC 1418 -46.5 -3.2 7.4
Rio Tinto PLC 3058 -98.5 -3.1 -10.3
Antofagasta PLC 749.5 -20.0 -2.6 -9.0
International Consolidated Airlines Group SA 391.2 -8.8 -2.2 -2.5
Sainsbury (J) PLC 325.7 -7.3 -2.2 -10.8
Friends Life Group Ltd 323.9 -7.0 -2.1 -8.5
easyJet PLC 1501 -29.0 -1.9 -2.3
Carnival PLC 2414 -39.0 -1.6 -3.5
Major World Indices Mid/Close Chg % Chg % YTD
UK UK 100 6,843.10 4.24 0.06 1.39
UK 16,126.00 38.37 0.24 1.20
FR CAC 40 4,554.40 -0.71 -0.02 6.02
DE DAX 30 9,938.70 -11.11 -0.11 4.05
US DJ Industrial Average 30 16,734.20 -109.68 -0.65 0.95
US Nasdaq Composite 100 4,297.63 -34.30 -0.79 2.90
US S&P 500 1,930.10 -13.78 -0.71 4.42
JP Nikkei 225 15,109.86 136.33 0.91 -7.25
HK Hang Seng Index 48 23,363.63 188.61 0.81 0.25
AU S&P/ASX 200 5,401.70 -27.10 -0.50 0.92
Commodities & FX Mid/Close Chg % Chg % YTD
Crude Oil, US Light Sweet ($/barrel) 106.935 -0.615 -0.57 8.9666
Crude Oil, Brent ($/barrel) 112.105 2.02 1.83 1.2052
Gold ($/oz) 1272.4 -0.6 -0.05 5.6607
Silver ($/oz) 19.5225 -0.0125 -0.06 0.5663
Platinum ($/oz) 1451.5 -2.4 -0.17 5.8074
GBP/USD – US$ per £ 1.6958 0.01 2.4532
EUR/USD – US$ per € 1.3557 0.04 -1.4186
GBP/EUR – € per £ 1.251 -0.01 3.7823
UK 100 called to open -25pts at 6820

UK 100 (UKX): 1-week chart (Source: IT-Finance)

Click graph to enlarge

Today's Main Events

  • 08:00     ES           Consumer Price Inflation (CPI)
  • 13:30     US           Producer Price inflation
  • 14:55     US           Uni Of Michigan Consumer Confidence

See Live Macro Calendar for full data line-up, incl. consensus expectations

Markets Overview: (Source: Bloomberg, FT, Reuters, DJ Newswires)

UK 100 called to open -25pts at 6820 as equities remain under pressure with continued fears relating to Iraq, given the fresh political turmoil and fighting which has given the price of oil a boost (WTI and Brent bounced around $5 from recent lows), and hurt airlines, offsetting optimism in global growth recovery which took knock an additional knock yesterday after weak US Retail Sales.

Despite a flat close yesterday, the UK index remains in a 4-day downtrend, with overnight highs for futures of 6830, again failing to challenge the 6850 highs of yesterday. The UK Index has yet to make another test of its 6795-6880 range. Major peers showing a similar pattern with the DAX ad DJIA in 3-day downtrends, coming off their record highs as momentum drops following their strong run.

Even solid Chinese data providing signs of stabilisation hasn’t been enough to revive UK Index overnight sentiment with Fixed Asset Investment (ex-rural) and Industrial Production both in-line and Retail Sales surprising to the upside. However it has benefited Asian trading with the Nikkei almost 1% to the good and close to challenging recent highs after less weak Industrial Production and Hong Kong not far behind thanks to the China data. Australia bucking the trend with losses.

In the US, the S&P and DJIA made it a second and third day of consecutive losses, respectively, after traders were disappointed by Retail Sales data for May even if April’s growth was revised higher. After all that cold weather in Q1, expectations had been for a resumption of growth without any hindrance. Jobless claims were a touch worse than expected, Import prices showed less inflation than thought however, Business Inventories beat consensus.

Note Bank of England Governor Carney announcing last night (Mansion House speech), and potentially stealing Chancellor Osborne’s thunder after Vince Cable’s attempt earlier in the day, that interest rates could rise earlier than markets expect which benefited GBP.

In focus today will be the Spanish Consumer Price Inflation data at the market open with April’s read seen flat and the YoY figure confirmed just positive. In the afternoon, US Producer Price Inflation is seen slowing in May but accelerating over the year – both headline and core. The day closes with an update on US Consumer Confidence where the Uni of Michigan is expected to have moved back up just over point.

In commodities, Gold has made further progress thanks to renewed safehaven demand, getting as high as $1275 and its bounce from lows of $1240 continuing aided by a supportive trendline of rising lows from 5 Jun.

For any help you may require placing trades or in terms of market information, put a call in to our trading floor – all part of the service.

 

Key Overnight Macro Data: (Source: Reuters/DJ Newswires)

  • JP           Industrial Production                     Less weak
  • CN                          Fixed Asset Investment                                In-line
  • CN                          Retail Sales                                        Beat
  • CN                          Industrial Production                     In-line
  • FR           Non-Farm Payrolls                          In-line
  • DE                           Consumer Price Inflation             In-line

See Live Macro calendar for full details

 

UK Company Headlines: (Source: Reuters/DJ Newswires)

  • EnQuest agrees to buy ExxonMobil share in Malaysian oil field
  • Gulf Keystone sees revenue hike in second half
  • SThree posts H1 gross profit of 100.9 mln stg
  • Avanti Communications places $150 mln senior secured notes
  • Petra Diamonds recovers 122.52 carat blue diamond
  • Northgate refinances multi-bank facility to 534 mln stg

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