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Morning Report - 16 June 2014

UK 100 Leaders Close (p) Chg (p) % Chg % YTD
Fresnillo PLC 807 9.0 1.1 8.3
Admiral Group PLC 1551 16.0 1.0 18.4
G4S PLC 257 2.1 0.8 -2.1
United Utilities Group PLC 893 6.5 0.7 33.0
Petrofac Ltd 1257 9.0 0.7 2.7
Coca-Cola HBC AG 1409 9.0 0.6 -20.0
SSE PLC 1569 10.0 0.6 14.5
Royal Bank of Scotland Group (The) PLC 342.2 1.9 0.6 1.2
UK 100 Laggards Close (p) Chg (p) % Chg % YTD
Persimmon PLC 1211 -91.0 -7.0 -2.3
Barratt Developments PLC 346.3 -23.3 -6.3 -0.8
Sports Direct International PLC 779 -39.0 -4.8 9.0
Land Securities Group PLC 1028 -47.0 -4.4 6.7
British Land Co PLC 686 -31.0 -4.3 9.1
Kingfisher PLC 369 -15.2 -4.0 -4.1
Hammerson PLC 577.5 -20.5 -3.4 15.0
Ashtead Group PLC 887 -31.0 -3.4 16.7
Major World Indices Mid/Close Chg % Chg % YTD
UK UK 100 6,777.85 -65.26 -0.95 0.43
UK 15,814.80 -311.15 -1.93 -0.76
FR CAC 40 4,543.28 -11.12 -0.24 5.76
DE DAX 30 9,912.87 -25.83 -0.26 3.78
US DJ Industrial Average 30 16,775.70 41.51 0.25 1.20
US Nasdaq Composite 100 4,310.65 13.02 0.3 3.21
US S&P 500 1,936.16 6.05 0.31 4.75
JP Nikkei 225 14,933.29 -164.55 -1.09 -8.34
HK Hang Seng Index 48 23,328.72 9.55 0.04 0.10
AU S&P/ASX 200 5,410.10 5.05 0.09 1.08
Commodities & FX Mid/Close Chg % Chg % YTD
Crude Oil, US Light Sweet ($/barrel) 107.375 0.605 0.57 8.1763
Crude Oil, Brent ($/barrel) 113.115 0.62 0.55 1.5573
Gold ($/oz) 1282.25 6.25 0.49 5.9097
Silver ($/oz) 19.7725 0.1125 0.57 1.2098
Platinum ($/oz) 1443.9 8.4 0.59 4.4684
GBP/USD – US$ per £ 1.7007 0.25 2.5076
EUR/USD – US$ per € 1.3551 0.09 -1.5059
GBP/EUR – € per £ 1.2551 0.17 3.9317
UK 100 called to open 20 points lower

Click graph to enlarge

Today's Main Events

  • 09:00     EU          Consumer Price Index
  • 12:30     CA          International Securities Transactions
  • 12:30     US          Empire Manufacturing
  • 13:15     US          Industrial/Manufacturing Production
  •                 US          Federal Reserve FOMC Meeting

See Live Macro Calendar for full data line-up, incl. consensus expectations

Markets Overview: (Source: Bloomberg, FT, Reuters, DJ Newswires)

UK 100 called to down -21pts at 6768, after Middle-Eastern markets were slammed yesterday amid escalating violence in Iraq. The DFM (Dubai Financial Markets) General Index plunged 4.7%, the heaviest hit in the region.

The Islamic State in Iraq and the Levant, a breakaway al-Qaeda group, is advancing toward Baghdad after taking the northern city of Mosul. Iraqi military helicopters attacked positions held by Sunni Muslim militants north of Baghdad as the U.S. moved an aircraft carrier into the Persian Gulf for possible air strikes to support the Shiite-led government.

The UK 100 suffered a near 1% decline of Friday led by House Builder stocks and the Leisure and Travel sector.

Persimmon (PSN.L) and Barratt Developments (BDEV.L) declined 6.99% and 6.30% after Chancellor George Osborne gave the Bank of England powers to curb mortgage lending (if required) to cool off a rampant property market. The sector has been in vogue for some time as a result of low interest rates and the government's 'Help to Buy' scheme.

Institutional brokers remain bullish on the sector with average target prices of 1471p (21.5% higher) and 482p (39.2% higher) respectively according to Bloomberg.

Shares in International Consolidated Air (IAG.L), easyJet (EZJ.L) and Tui Travel (TT..L) fell as much as 3% after Britain's air regulator CAA said airlines would no longer be able to cite technical faults as a reason for not paying compensation.

Under current rules a technical issue can be deemed an 'extraordinary circumstance' meaning passengers do not have to be compensated for resulting delays. The rule change will only recognise events such as lightning strike, extreme winter weather or strike action as an 'extraordinary circumstance' meaning passengers will be able to seek compensation of between €250-€600 for delays suffered as a result of technical issues.

Unsurprisingly Asian markets have struggled to perform this morning, the Hang Seng and ASX 200 clinging on to positive territory, up less than 0.1%.

The Nikkei 225 and TOPIX, the hardest hit in the region, down as much as 1%. The situation in Iraq prompting aggressive profit taking after four weeks of gains.

The Dow Jones and S&P 500 indices are likely to retreat from near record high, closing levels of 16,775pts and 1,936pts on Friday as a result.

Commodities: Gold advances to a three-week high of $1,284.25 as escalating violence in Iraq increased the demand for the metal. Light Crude hit $106.09 a barrel while Brent reached $113.06 a barrel due to the situation in Iraq.

FX: GBP/USD hit $1.70 the highest level since August 2009 as S&P upgraded the outlook on the UK to stable from negative citing the impact the recovery will have on the government’s finances.

For any help you may require placing trades or in terms of market information, put a call in to our trading floor – all part of the service.

Key Overnight Macro Data: (Source: Reuters/DJ Newswires)

  • NZ                          Westpac Consumer Confidence                  IN-LINE
  • NZ                          Performance Services Index                       IN-LINE
  • UK                          Rightmove House Prices  (MoM)               IN-LINE
  • UK                          Rightmove House Prices  (YoY)                IN-LINE

See Live Macro calendar for full details

UK Company Headlines: (Source: Reuters/DJ Newswires)

•             Mitchells & Butlers acquires Orchid Group for 266 mln stg

•             Vodafone launches buyout offer on Italy's Cobra at 1.49 euros


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This research is produced by Accendo Markets Limited. Research produced and disseminated by Accendo Markets is classified as non-independent research, and is therefore a marketing communication. This investment research has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote its independence and it is not subject to the prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. This research does not constitute a personal recommendation or offer to enter into a transaction or an investment, and is produced and distributed for information purposes only.

Accendo Markets considers opinions and information contained within the research to be valid when published, and gives no warranty as to the investments referred to in this material. The income from the investments referred to may go down as well as up, and investors may realise losses on investments. The past performance of a particular investment is not necessarily a guide to its future performance. Prepared by Michael van Dulken, Head of Research

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